Docusign Stock Gains 32% in a Year: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold?

Core Viewpoint - Docusign, Inc. (DOCU) has shown strong performance over the past year, with a 31.6% increase in share price, significantly outperforming its industry and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite [1][4]. Group 1: Performance Analysis - DOCU shares have gained 5.7% in the last six months, while the industry and Thryv Holdings have seen declines of 5.4% and 33.3%, respectively [4]. - The stock closed at $76.39, down 41.2$107.86 [4]. - DOCU's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) is 42.2%, surpassing the industry average of 31.7% [10]. Group 2: Product Development - Docusign launched Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM), an AI-powered platform aimed at enhancing agreement management, which has shown a high adoption rate [6][7]. - IAM contributed over 20% of direct sales in Q4 of fiscal 2025 and is expected to generate a low-double-digit percentage of recurring subscription revenue by Q4 of fiscal 2026 [7][8]. - The company added 56 customers with annual contract value (ACV) exceeding $300,000 in Q4 of fiscal 2025, indicating a rebound in enterprise expansion [9]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Docusign's fiscal 2026 revenues is$3.1 billion, reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year growth [12]. - Despite strong top-line prospects, the bottom-line outlook appears weak, with potential challenges in IAM monetization and a concerning liquidity position [16]. Group 4: Liquidity Concerns - Docusign's current ratio is 0.81, below the industry average of 2.54, indicating a troubling liquidity position [14]. - The current ratio has declined from 0.83 in the previous quarter and 0.94 in the year-ago quarter, primarily due to increased short-term debt [14].