Will Estee Lauder (EL) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Core Viewpoint - Estee Lauder is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, with a strong history of surpassing earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, where it achieved an average surprise of 74.65% [1][5]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Estee Lauder reported earnings of $0.62 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of$0.32 per share, resulting in a surprise of 93.75% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to earn $0.09 per share but delivered$0.14 per share, achieving a surprise of 55.56% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Estee Lauder, with a positive Earnings ESP of +14.31%, indicating that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate than earlier predictions [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Companies often beat consensus EPS estimates, but this is not the only factor influencing stock price movements. Therefore, checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for increasing the odds of success [10].