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招商证券:钠电成本逼近铁锂 多场景应用爆发在即
600999CMS(600999) 智通财经·2025-04-21 06:34

Core Insights - Sodium-ion battery technology has made significant breakthroughs in recent years, with costs dropping from 0.8 yuan/Wh in 2023 to approximately 0.45 yuan/Wh, while energy density has also improved, leading to an expansion of application scenarios [1][2][5] - Major manufacturers like CATL and Aulton Technology are pushing sodium-ion batteries into mass production for A0/A00 and hybrid models, showcasing notable low-temperature performance advantages [1][3] - In the two-wheeler market, sodium-ion batteries are gradually replacing lead-acid batteries due to their safety and cost competitiveness, with multiple companies expected to launch sodium-ion two-wheelers in 2024 [1][3] - In the energy storage sector, sodium-ion batteries have entered large-scale applications, with the poly-anion route achieving a cycle life of over 8000 times [1][4] Technological Advancements - Significant progress has been made in product technical indicators, with energy density and cycle life showing marked improvements; for instance, CATL's second-generation sodium-ion product has an energy density exceeding 200 Wh/kg [2] - Sodium-ion battery prices have generally fallen to around 0.45 yuan/Wh, approaching the cost of lithium iron phosphate batteries, indicating potential for further cost reductions [2][5] Market Applications - Sodium-ion batteries are beginning to see bulk applications in hybrid and A0/A00 vehicles, with expectations for expanded use in the power sector by 2025 [3] - The two-wheeler market is aligning with new national standards, making sodium-ion batteries a suitable choice for this segment [3] - Sodium-ion batteries are also expected to find applications in starting power sources, commercial vehicles, and engineering machinery due to their excellent discharge performance [3] Energy Storage Potential - The poly-anion route, represented by composite sodium iron phosphate, has enhanced the cycle life of sodium-ion batteries to over 8000 cycles, with significant cost reduction potential [4] - Sodium-ion energy storage has reached the hundred MWh level, and as demonstration projects progress, the potential for expanded usage is anticipated [4]