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Here's Why Investors Should Give Greenbrier Stock a Miss Now
GBXThe Greenbrier panies(GBX) ZACKS·2025-04-21 15:50

Group 1: Company Challenges - Greenbrier Companies (GBX) is facing significant challenges that are negatively impacting its operational efficiency and liquidity, making it less attractive for investors [1] - The company's revenues decreased from 875.9millioninQ12025to875.9 million in Q1 2025 to 762.1 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to fewer deliveries in North America and Europe [6] - The gross margin fell from 19.8% to 18.2% during the same period, influenced by lower revenues and 2.4millioninEuropeanrationalizationcosts[6]Group2:EarningsEstimatesandPerformanceTheZacksConsensusEstimateforcurrentyearearningshasbeenreviseddownwardby12.72.4 million in European rationalization costs [6] Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has been revised downward by 12.7% to 5.15 per share, with a 13.6% decline in the 2026 earnings estimate to 5.40pershare[2]GBXhasamixedearningssurprisehistory,surpassingtheZacksConsensusEstimateintwoofthelastthreequarters,butwithanaveragenegativesurpriseof42.55.40 per share [2] - GBX has a mixed earnings surprise history, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last three quarters, but with an average negative surprise of 42.5% [4] - The company's stock price has decreased by 29.7% over the past year, compared to an 18.5% decline in the Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry [3] Group 3: Financial Ratios and Industry Context - GBX's current ratio has deteriorated from 1.88 in 2022 to 1.50 in 2025, indicating growing liquidity concerns and a declining ability to cover short-term liabilities [9] - The industry to which Greenbrier belongs has a Zacks Industry Rank of 212 out of 247, placing it in the bottom 14% of Zacks Industries, which could impact GBX's stock performance [5] - The company's selling and administrative expenses rose from 62 million in Q1 2025 to 64.6millioninQ22025,including64.6 million in Q2 2025, including 4.2 million in restructuring costs, highlighting cost pressures amid declining sales [8]