What's in Store for Phillips 66 This Q1 Earnings Season?

Core Viewpoint - Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 earnings on April 25, with factors influencing performance including gasoline demand, refining margins, and crude oil prices [1][4][5]. Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the last reported quarter, PSX had an adjusted loss of 15 cents per share, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 20 cents, attributed to higher renewable fuel margins and reduced costs [2]. - PSX has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 12.95% [2]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share is 42 cents, reflecting a decline of 77.9% from the same quarter last year [3]. - The estimated revenue for the first quarter is $30.67 billion, indicating a 15.8% decrease from the previous year [3]. Group 3: Market Factors - Demand for gasoline in the U.S. remained resilient, but global challenges such as regional supply imbalances and demand fluctuations may have impacted performance [4]. - A decline in refining margins, as indicated by EIA data showing softer gasoline and distillate crack spreads, could pressure PSX's refining business [5]. - The average spot price for West Texas Intermediate crude was$ 68.24 per barrel in March 2025, down from $81.28 in March 2024, which may affect revenues in PSX's Midstream and Marketing segments [6]. - Volatility in natural gas prices could squeeze margins if energy costs rise without sufficient pricing power in the downstream market [7]. Group 4: Earnings Whispers - Current analysis does not indicate an earnings beat for PSX, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8].