United Parcel Service (UPS) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite a decline in revenues for the quarter ending March 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a potential impact on the stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on April 29, 2025, with a consensus estimate of $1.44 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +0.7$21.06 billion, down 3% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.11% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.62%, suggesting a bearish outlook [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [6][8]. However, UPS currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - UPS has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters, with the most recent quarter showing a surprise of +9.13% [12][13]. Conclusion - While UPS does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].