S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 Flashed Death Crosses—Should You Worry?

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq-100 Index have both triggered a bearish chart pattern known as the Death Cross, which historically indicates a potential bear market [1][2][3]. Market Context - The recent Death Cross occurred on April 14, 2025, amidst market selloff driven by President Trump's tariffs, reigniting trade tensions with China and raising recession fears [3][4]. - Companies in the consumer staples sector, such as Walmart Inc. and Delta Air Lines, have withdrawn their guidance due to economic uncertainty caused by tariffs [4]. Historical Precedents - Historical instances of Death Cross formations have preceded significant market downturns, including the Dot-Com crash in March 2000, the Global Financial Crisis in December 2007, and the market correction in March 2022 [6][14]. - The last Death Cross before the current one occurred on March 14, 2022, and took 11 months to reverse back into a Golden Cross in February 2023 [7]. Key Support Levels - For the S&P 500 Index, a critical support level to monitor is $490.58, which represents a 20$432.65 but rebounded above it shortly after [11][12]. Market Behavior and Recovery - Not all Death Crosses lead to prolonged downturns; some have reversed quickly, such as the December 2018 and March 2020 Death Crosses, which turned back into Golden Crosses within four months [15][16]. - Catalysts for potential market recovery may include the resolution of trade tensions, interest rate cuts, positive economic reports, and strong earnings seasons [17].