Core Viewpoint - The company reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, driven by domestic demand, cloud orders, and a narrowing of net losses [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 21.9% year-on-year to 1.262 billion yuan in Q1 2025 - Net loss narrowed by 48.93% year-on-year to 250 million yuan - Non-GAAP net loss narrowed by 48.75% year-on-year to 261 million yuan [1]. Development Trends - The business continues to expand due to cloud computing, domestic production, and AI trends - The company's market share in hyper-converged infrastructure (HCI) increased from 18.8% in Q3 2024 to 20.2% in Q4 2024, maintaining the top position in the domestic market - The company holds an 11.1% market share in the domestic network security hardware sector, indicating strong market leadership - The company is expected to benefit from the clear window for VMWare's domestic production and the increasing demand for private cloud solutions driven by AI [2][3]. International Performance - The company anticipates significant growth in overseas market orders in Q1 2025, continuing the trend from 2024 - The overseas version of XDR was launched in 2024, contributing to a 39% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue to 480 million yuan, accounting for 6.4% of total revenue - The overall gross margin improved by 2.2 percentage points to 60.4% in Q1 2025, supported by growth in cybersecurity business [3]. Cost Management - Total operating expenses decreased by 8% year-on-year in Q1 2025 - Sales, R&D, and management expense ratios decreased by 14.7, 12.7, and 2.0 percentage points to 46.8%, 38.6%, and 6.7% respectively - Operating cash flow net outflow narrowed by 28% year-on-year to 831 million yuan, indicating improved cash flow management [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains an outperform rating and profit forecast - The target price is set at 140 yuan, based on a 40x 2026 estimated price-to-operating cash flow (P/OCF) ratio, indicating a 57% upside potential from the current stock price [4].
深信服(300454):业绩超预期 云计算、AI与出海扬帆正当时