CHOW TAI FOOK(01929) 智通财经网·2025-04-25 01:25Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward revision of FY25 EPS forecast for Chow Tai Fook (01929) by 7% to HKD 0.54, while maintaining FY26 EPS forecast at HKD 0.76 and introducing FY27 EPS forecast at HKD 0.83. The current stock price corresponds to 18/13/12 times FY25/26/27 P/E ratios, with a target price increase of 46% to HKD 11.41, corresponding to 15 times FY26 P/E [1]. Group 1 - The company reported a 11.6% year-on-year decline in overall retail value for 4QFY25, with declines of 10.4% in mainland China and 20.7% in Hong Kong and Macau [2]. - Same-store sales in mainland China and Hong Kong/Macau fell by 13.2% and 22.5% respectively [2]. - Despite the rising gold prices, mainland China business showed a sequential improvement, with retail value and same-store sales declining by 10.4% and 13.2% respectively, compared to previous quarter declines of 13.0% and 16.1% [3]. Group 2 - The company has made positive progress in channel upgrades and product innovation, opening 5 new concept stores in FY25, which have shown higher store efficiency and sales performance [4]. - New product lines, such as the Chuanfu series and the Palace Museum series, achieved sales exceeding HKD 4 billion each in FY25, reflecting the company's competitive strength in product design and innovation [4]. - The proportion of retail value from priced products surpassed 25% in the latest quarter, up from 9% in the same period last year, contributing to strong profitability [4]. Group 3 - For FY26, the company will continue to focus on improving store efficiency and product optimization, with a strategy to enhance same-store sales growth [5]. - The management plans to launch a new flagship product series, the Chuanxi series, in April 2025, and aims to increase the sales proportion of priced gold products to 20-23% in FY26 [5].