嘉友国际(603871)：蒙煤业务阶段性波动 业绩略低于预期

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual results and 2025 Q1 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but a decline in net profit in the fourth quarter and first quarter of 2025, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 8.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.14%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.276 billion yuan, up 22.88% [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw operating revenue of 2.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.63%, but net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 33.88% to 188 million yuan [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.295 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.02%, while net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.77% to 262 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The Mongolian coal business experienced a slowdown in growth due to the cyclical nature of the steel and coke industry, but the company remains optimistic about the future market share increase in its integrated logistics business [1]. - In 2024, the Ganqimaodu port completed a total import and export cargo volume of 40.716 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.55%, with imported coal accounting for 39.206 million tons, up 7.38% [1]. - The cross-border multimodal transport business saw a revenue increase of 22% in 2024, with a gross margin improvement of 2.17 percentage points [2]. Group 3: Market Trends and Outlook - The company benefits from the trade dynamics with landlocked countries, and the African multimodal transport business is growing due to increased demand for copper and cobalt resources [2]. - The infrastructure segment is showing strong performance, with a steady increase in the number of customs clearance vehicles, and the company’s land port project service revenue grew by 16.42% in 2024, with a gross margin of 57.46% [2]. - The company is expected to see improvements in the supply-demand dynamics of the coke and steel industry, which may enhance its market position in the future [1].