Walmart(WMT) The Motley Fool·2025-04-26 12:05Core Viewpoint - Walmart remains a strong investment opportunity due to its consistent growth, resilient margins, and commitment to returning value to shareholders, despite macroeconomic challenges [1]. Group 1: Growth Metrics - Walmart's comparable-store sales have consistently increased over the past decade, driven by store renovations, private label brands, competitive pricing, and enhanced e-commerce capabilities [3]. - The company expects net sales growth of 3% to 4% on a constant-currency basis for fiscal 2026 [6]. - Walmart's total revenue growth is projected to be 6% for fiscal 2024 and 5.1% for fiscal 2025 [5]. Group 2: Store Expansion - The total number of Walmart stores worldwide decreased from 11,501 at the end of fiscal 2020 to 10,593 at the end of fiscal 2022, primarily due to overseas divestments [7]. - By the end of fiscal 2025, Walmart had expanded its physical locations to 10,711, indicating a stable pace of expansion [7]. Group 3: Financial Resilience - Walmart's gross and operating margins have shown resilience, recovering in the second half of 2023 and into 2024 after being squeezed by inflation [8]. - The company is well-positioned to manage the impact of tariffs, leveraging its scale to negotiate better prices and potentially passing costs onto consumers if necessary [10]. Group 4: Shareholder Returns - Walmart has a forward dividend yield of 1% and has raised its dividend for 52 consecutive years, indicating strong capacity for future hikes [11]. - The company has repurchased 6% of its outstanding shares over the past five years, demonstrating a commitment to returning free cash flow to investors [12]. Group 5: Valuation - Analysts expect Walmart's revenue to grow at a compound annual rate of 4% from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2028, with EPS increasing at a compound annual rate of 11% [13]. - Walmart's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 36 is considered justified given its resilience in the market, especially compared to Costco's ratio of 54 [14].