After a Big Vote of Confidence for Hertz's Turnaround, Is the Stock Finally a Buy Now?

Core Viewpoint - Hertz Global Holdings has experienced significant volatility, including a bankruptcy due to the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by a turnaround plan that has not gained traction [1] - Investor Bill Ackman has made a substantial investment in Hertz, believing in its potential for a brighter future [1][2] Investment Details - Pershing Square disclosed the purchase of 12.7 million shares of Hertz, leading to a significant increase in Hertz's stock price [2] - Ackman sees potential in Hertz's rental car business amid tariff uncertainties, particularly due to its fleet of over 500,000 vehicles valued at approximately $12 billion [5][6] Asset Valuation - A 10$1.2 billion gain for Hertz's automotive assets, which is significant compared to its current market capitalization of $2.7 billion [6] - Ackman believes that the market undervalues Hertz's assets, although the recent stock price increase may have corrected this perception [6][10] Operational Improvements - For Hertz to realize its potential, it must achieve specific operational metrics, including revenue per unit of$1,500, daily per-vehicle operating expenses below $45, and depreciation per unit of roughly$300 [8] - The company also needs to improve fleet utilization to 85%, up from a historical average of 80% [8] Future Outlook - Ackman predicts that Hertz could reach $30 per share by 2029, with the stock currently trading below$9, indicating significant upside potential [7] - The company must rotate its fleet away from electric vehicles and reduce operating costs to improve unit revenue and margins over time [9]