This S&P 500 Stock Is Down 68%: Should You Buy It Now and Hold for 20 Years?

Company Overview - The S&P 500 index, which includes some of the largest and most profitable companies in the U.S., has faced pressure due to economic concerns [1] - Nike's stock is down nearly 70% from its peak, indicating fundamental issues within the business [3] Financial Performance - Nike's revenue has declined year-over-year for four consecutive fiscal quarters, with management expecting a mid-teens decline for the current fiscal quarter [3] - Despite sales pressures, Nike generated $5.3 billion in footwear sales in Q3, maintaining a significant lead over competitors [9] Strategic Challenges - Previous management under CEO John Donahoe made strategic errors, including a lack of product innovation and over-reliance on classic footwear franchises, leading to excessive discounts to clear inventory [4][5] - Nike's shift away from key retail partners during the pandemic has created distribution challenges, as consumers still prefer physical stores [5] Leadership and Future Outlook - Elliott Hill, a veteran of Nike, was appointed CEO in October 2022, with a focus on revitalizing the brand's connection to sports [6] - The company holds a strong brand presence and marketing strategy, which may help it recover and grow in the future [8] Market Position - Nike's partnerships with major sports leagues and endorsements from top athletes provide it with unmatched visibility in the market [9] - The current investment in Nike is characterized as high-risk/high-reward, with a price-to-earnings ratio near a 10-year low, suggesting potential for significant returns if the company can turn around its performance [10][11]