AT&T vs. Verizon: Which Telecom Stock is a Better Buy Right Now?

Core Insights - AT&T and Verizon are major players in the North American telecommunications industry, with Verizon currently positioned as the largest wireless carrier following its acquisition of Alltel Wireless Corp [2][3]. Verizon's Position - Verizon is experiencing significant growth due to 5G adoption and fixed wireless broadband momentum, expanding its 5G Ultra-Wideband network across the country [4]. - The company is shifting its revenue mix towards new growth areas such as cloud, security, and professional services, forming strategic partnerships with Accenture and NVIDIA [4][5]. - Verizon has introduced a three-year price lock guarantee for its plans, ensuring stable pricing for customers [5]. - The company is expanding its fiber network through strategic acquisitions, including the buyout of Frontier Communication, expected to enhance its broadband customer base by 2026 [5]. - Verizon's dividend payout rate is 58%, and its debt-to-capital ratio is projected to decrease from 61.6% in 2023 to 58.9% in 2024, indicating strong operational efficiency [5]. AT&T's Position - AT&T is focusing on a customer-centric business model, showing healthy momentum in its postpaid wireless business with lower churn rates and increased adoption of higher-tier plans [7]. - The company is enhancing its mobile 5G and fixed wireless services, leveraging partnerships with Ericsson and Nokia to improve network infrastructure [7][8]. - AT&T has introduced the AT&T Guarantee, which offers bill credits for network outages, and is collaborating with Microsoft to enhance its 5G network through cloud integration [8]. - The company's dividend payout rate stands at 50.1%, with a debt-to-capital ratio of 51.1% in 2024, reflecting a focus on debt management [8][9]. Competitive Landscape - Both Verizon and AT&T face intense competition from each other and T-Mobile, with increasing promotional spending impacting margins [6][10]. - Verizon's wireline business is under pressure from VoIP providers and aggressive offerings from cable companies [6]. - AT&T's nationwide wireless service outage has affected customer trust, and its discount strategies are leading to margin pressures [10]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Verizon's 2025 sales and EPS indicates year-over-year growth of 1.68% and 2.18%, respectively [11]. - In contrast, AT&T's 2025 sales are projected to grow by 1.5%, while EPS is expected to decline by 7.08% [12]. Valuation and Performance - Over the past year, Verizon's stock has gained 5%, while AT&T has seen a significant increase of 58.6% [13]. - From a valuation perspective, Verizon's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 8.83, compared to AT&T's 12.52, making Verizon appear more attractive [14]. Investment Outlook - Both companies anticipate modest revenue growth and improved cash flow in 2025, with Verizon's strategic collaborations and network upgrades serving as key growth drivers [16]. - Despite AT&T's strong subscriber momentum and focus on debt management, Verizon's attractive valuation, higher dividend payout rate, and resilient business model position it as a better investment option currently [16].