Aier(300015) 新浪财经·2025-04-29 02:48Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 20.98 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.0%, and net profits meeting market expectations. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 6.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.0%, exceeding market expectations, primarily due to the recovery in consumer business [1]. Group 1: Business Performance - In 2024, the consumer business faced pressure, with refractive and optical revenues growing by 2.3% and 6.4% year-on-year, respectively. However, in Q1 2025, both segments are expected to outperform the overall company revenue growth due to the elimination of price base pressure and the application of new technologies [2]. - The serious medical segment maintained stable growth in 2024, with cataract, anterior segment, and posterior segment revenues increasing by 4.9%, 5.9%, and 8.2% year-on-year, respectively. The company anticipates continued stable performance in Q1 2025 [2]. Group 2: Expansion and Service Improvement - By the end of 2024, the company operated 581 domestic medical institutions and 163 overseas institutions, having acquired nearly 90 domestic medical institutions and the Optimax Group to enter the UK ophthalmology market. This expansion is expected to enhance market positioning and achieve economies of scale [3]. - The company is optimizing service models by extending outpatient hours and building smart hospital platforms to meet diverse patient needs, achieving a patient satisfaction rate close to 99.0% in 2024 [3]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 48.1%, a sales expense ratio of 10.3%, and a management expense ratio of 14.2%. The net profit margin for the parent company was 16.9% [4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 48.0%, with a reduction in sales and management expense ratios to 9.0% and 12.6%, respectively. The net profit margin for the parent company increased to 17.6% year-on-year [4]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its net profit forecast for 2025-2026 down by 7.73% and 7.94% to 4.09 billion yuan and 4.699 billion yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 29.9x for 2025 and 26.0x for 2026 [5]. - The target price is maintained at 16.0 yuan, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 36.5x for 2025 and 31.8x for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 22.0% from the current stock price [5].