神州泰岳(300002)：出海业务强劲且靓丽

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024, with significant growth in net profit, while the first quarter of 2025 showed a decline in both revenue and net profit, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.452 billion and net profit of 1.428 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 8.22% and 60.92% respectively [1]. - In the first quarter of 2025, revenue and net profit were 1.323 billion and 0.239 billion, showing year-on-year declines of 11.07% and 19.09% respectively [1]. Business Segmentation - The company's revenue composition was 72% from gaming and 28% from software and information services, with year-on-year growth of 3.66% and 22.21% respectively [2]. - Key gaming titles, Age of Origins and War and Order, contributed 74% and 23% to total gaming revenue [2]. - The software and information services segment focused on AI/ICT operational management products, including AI, cloud services, and information security [2]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin slightly decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 61%, while the gaming gross margin increased by 1.56 percentage points to 72.7% [2]. - The company experienced changes in expense ratios, with sales, management, finance, and R&D expense ratios adjusting to 15.6%, 19.66%, -1.71%, and 5.15% respectively [2]. Regional Performance - The overseas business showed a revenue growth of 12.84%, with a slight increase in gross margin by 0.82 percentage points to 68.09%, indicating strong momentum and competitiveness in international markets [2]. Competitive Advantage - The company has established significant competitive barriers through its subsidiary, Shellwood Games, which is recognized as an early pioneer in the overseas market for strategy games, showcasing international product development and distribution capabilities [3]. - The integration of AI technology and AIGC tools is expected to help maintain this competitive edge and facilitate the launch of new products in the future [3]. Profit Forecast - The company anticipates revenue growth rates of 18.8%, 12.7%, and 10% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth rates of 6.5%, 9.7%, and 7.2% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.77 yuan, 0.85 yuan, and 0.91 yuan for 2025-2027, with a target price of 15.4 yuan based on a 20x PE valuation for 2025 [3].