江海股份(002484)：业绩稳中有升 新兴领域布局蓄力

Core Insights - The company reported steady growth in Q1 2025, with revenue of 1.16 billion yuan (up 10% year-on-year) and a net profit of 150 million yuan (up 11% year-on-year), demonstrating strong resilience in performance [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 reached 24.3%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 13.2%, up 0.03 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from recovering downstream demand and improved product mix [1] Revenue Growth and Business Expansion - The aluminum electrolytic capacitors are expanding their application scenarios, with growth in sectors such as new energy, consumer electronics, electric vehicles, and charging stations [1] - The acquisition of Hitachi AIC has led to year-on-year growth in performance, while solid-state polymer capacitors (MLPC) have been recognized by several strategic customers [1] - The hybrid capacitors have made breakthroughs in the automotive sector, with potential growth exceeding 50% [1] - Film capacitors are entering a rapid growth phase, with significant applications in consumer electronics, industrial equipment, new energy, electric vehicles, and military industries [1] Emerging Business Opportunities - The company showcased its latest Power Capacitance Shelf rack in March 2025, integrating a new lithium-ion supercapacitor (LIC) solution, which is crucial for meeting the increasing power demands of AI and data centers [2] - The supercapacitors, particularly lithium-ion types, have gained recognition in various fields, including rail transit, automotive, medical instruments, new energy, power grids, and port machinery, entering mass application stages [2] - Revenue from supercapacitors is growing rapidly, with practical trials in power frequency regulation on both generation and user sides, indicating promising prospects in AI server applications [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 840 million yuan, 1.01 billion yuan, and 1.18 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjustments made to revenue and gross margin predictions for aluminum electrolytic, film, and supercapacitors [2] - Based on a comparable company average PE of 23 times for 2025, a target price of 22.54 yuan is set, maintaining a buy rating [2]