DexCom-DXCM Q1 Earnings to Reflect U.S. Coverage Expansion & Stelo Impact?

Core Viewpoint - DexCom, Inc. is set to release its first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, with expectations of revenue growth and potential challenges ahead [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $1.02 billion, reflecting a 10.3% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is 33 cents per share, indicating a 3.1% year-over-year growth [3]. - In the last reported quarter, DexCom's earnings missed estimates by 10% but outperformed in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 5.86% [1]. Market Dynamics - DexCom's performance is bolstered by an expanded U.S. prescriber base and improved coverage by major pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) [5]. - The company has seen a record number of new patient starts and added 50,000 new clinicians in 2024, indicating strong commercial execution [6]. - U.S. revenues improved by 4% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, following a decline in the third quarter [7]. International Expansion - The international segment grew by 17% year-over-year in the last quarter, driven by the launch of G7 in Australia and coverage for Dexcom ONE+ in France and New Zealand [7][8]. - The return to growth in Japan, aided by a new sales structure, is a significant highlight [8]. Product Development - Stelo, an over-the-counter continuous glucose monitor, has gained traction with over 140,000 users in its first four months [8]. - DexCom plans to enhance Stelo's adoption through product iterations and partnerships, including integration with Oura Ring for comprehensive health monitoring [9]. Financial Outlook - DexCom projects full-year 2025 revenue of$ 4.6 billion, representing organic growth of 14% [10]. - The company anticipates continued margin improvement as it converts its installed base to G7 and scales manufacturing [10]. - DexCom holds a strong cash position of $2.58 billion, providing financial flexibility for strategic initiatives [11].