Airbnb to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Airbnb (ABNB) is set to release its first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, with expected revenues between $2.23 billion and$2.27 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 4-6% or 7-9% when excluding foreign exchange impacts [1] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues is currently $2.26 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.61% [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings is 25 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, representing a 39.02% decline from the same quarter last year [2] Key Factors Influencing Performance - Airbnb saw an acceleration in Nights and Experiences Booked in Q4 2024, driven by strong growth in first-time bookers, particularly in the Asia Pacific and Latin America regions [3] - Year-over-year growth in Nights and Experiences Booked for Q1 2025 is expected to remain stable compared to Q1 2024 [3] - Average Daily Rates (ADR) are anticipated to dip year-over-year due to foreign exchange headwinds, although a modest increase is expected when excluding these impacts [4] Product and Service Enhancements - Over the past few years, Airbnb has introduced over 535 features and upgrades, including Guest Favourites and the Co-Host Network, which supports nearly 100,000 listings [5] - Enhanced search functionality and merchandising have led to higher conversion rates, contributing to expected growth in Q1 2025 [6] - The company is focusing on mainstream adoption of hosting and expanding beyond accommodations, with progress anticipated in the quarter under review [7] Financial Metrics and Challenges - Airbnb expects adjusted EBITDA and its margin to decline in Q1 2025 due to one-time calendar factors and currency headwinds, although the margin would remain flat year-over-year without these impacts [8] - Increased operational costs are expected to potentially impact the bottom line [8] Earnings Prediction Model - According to the Zacks model, Airbnb has a positive Earnings ESP of +7.39% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [9]