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Should You Buy, Sell or Hold GILD Stock Post Q1 Earnings Miss?
GILDGilead(GILD) ZACKS·2025-04-30 14:10

Core Viewpoint - Gilead Sciences, Inc. reported lower-than-expected first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 1.81andtotalrevenuesof1.81 and total revenues of 6.7 billion, both missing consensus estimates [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS of 1.81missedtheZacksConsensusEstimatebyapenny,whilethepreviousyearreportedalosspershareof1.81 missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny, while the previous year reported a loss per share of 1.32 [1] - Total revenues of 6.7billionwereflatyearoveryearandmissedtheZacksConsensusEstimateof6.7 billion were flat year over year and missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 6.8 billion [1] - Key drugs Biktarvy and Trodelvy missed sales expectations, leading to a decline in stock price post-announcement [2] Group 2: HIV Portfolio Strength - Gilead's HIV product sales contributed 4.6billioninthefirstquarter,withBiktarvysalesincreasing74.6 billion in the first quarter, with Biktarvy sales increasing 7% year over year to 3.15 billion despite missing estimates [4] - Biktarvy holds over 51% market share in the U.S. treatment market, indicating strong momentum [5] - The pipeline candidate lenacapavir showed 100% efficacy for HIV prevention in women, with FDA priority review expected by June 19, 2025 [6][7] Group 3: Liver Disease Portfolio - FDA approval of seladelpar for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) strengthens Gilead's liver disease portfolio, with initial uptake being encouraging [8] Group 4: Oncology Business Challenges - Gilead's oncology portfolio faces competitive pressures, particularly in the Cell Therapy franchise and breast cancer drug Trodelvy, which saw lower-than-expected sales [10] - Potential launches of anito-cel and Trodelvy in 2026 may bolster the oncology business [11] Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Gilead's shares have gained 13.6% year to date, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [12] - The stock trades at a price/earnings ratio of 12.80x forward earnings, lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 15.77x [15] - The bottom-line estimate for 2025 has slightly decreased to 7.91,whiletheestimatefor2026hasincreasedto7.91, while the estimate for 2026 has increased to 8.69 [16] Group 6: Strategic Outlook - Gilead's continuous innovation in the HIV portfolio and strategic acquisitions are seen as positive for long-term growth [19][20] - The company maintains a strong cash position of $7.9 billion as of March 31, 2025, supporting a sustainable dividend yield of 2.97% [21]