1 Supercharged Stock-Split Stock to Buy Hand Over Fist in May and 1 to Avoid

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting outlooks for two prominent stock-split companies: O'Reilly Automotive, which is seen as a strong buy, and Arista Networks, which is viewed as potentially overvalued and risky. Group 1: Stock-Split Overview - Stock splits allow companies to adjust their share price and outstanding share count without affecting market capitalization or operating performance [3] - Historically, companies conducting forward splits have averaged a 25.4% return in the 12 months following the announcement, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [5] Group 2: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive is the first high-profile company to announce a forward split in 2025, with a planned 15-for-1 split reducing its share price from nearly $1,400 to around$90 [7][8] - The average age of vehicles in the U.S. has reached an all-time high of 12.6 years, increasing demand for O'Reilly's auto parts [9] - O'Reilly's business model is recession-resistant, as consumers are likely to keep their vehicles longer during economic downturns [10] - The company has an effective hub-and-spoke distribution model, allowing for quick delivery of a wide range of products [11] - O'Reilly has repurchased $25.94 billion worth of its common stock since 2011, retiring 59.4$422 to around $105 [16] - The company has experienced sustained sales growth, with service revenue increasing by 35$1.12 billion [18] - Concerns exist regarding the potential bursting of the AI bubble, as many businesses have not yet optimized their AI solutions [19] - Macro factors, including a projected 2.4% decline in U.S. GDP, could negatively impact demand for Arista's products [20] - Despite a decline from its peak, Arista's price-to-sales multiple remains high at over 14, indicating potential for further downside [21]