Archer Daniels to Report Q1 Earnings: What Should Investors Expect?

Core Viewpoint - Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) is expected to report declines in both earnings and revenues for the first quarter of 2025, with significant challenges in its Ag Services & Oilseeds segment contributing to this underperformance [1][4]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADM's earnings is 69 cents per share, reflecting a 52.7% decrease from the same quarter last year, with a 2.8% decline in the consensus mark over the past 30 days [2]. - Revenue estimates are set at $20.7 billion, indicating a 5.3$16.1 billion and adjusted operating profit at $454 million, representing year-over-year declines of 6.4$1.9 billion, up 0.5% year-over-year, and operating profit anticipated to remain flat sequentially [8]. Market Conditions - ADM is facing tough market conditions, including sluggishness in the agriculture cycle, increased cost inflation, and weak demand for vegetable oil, which have negatively impacted its Crushing subsegment [4][5]. - The refining margins in the Refined Products and Other segment are under pressure due to increased supply of low-carbon intensity feedstock and weak demand from food customers in North America [5]. Valuation Perspective - ADM is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 11.01x, which is below its five-year high of 18.93x and the industry average of 14.14x, suggesting it offers compelling value for investors [11]. - Over the past three months, ADM's shares have declined by 3.5%, compared to a 7.2% decline in the industry [12].