Vistra Corp. (VST) Increases Yet Falls Behind Market: What Investors Need to Know

Group 1: Company Performance - Vistra Corp. (VST) closed at $139.28, reflecting a +1.44% change from the previous session, which lagged behind the S&P 500's gain of 1.47% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Vistra Corp. have increased by 26.88%, significantly outperforming the Utilities sector's gain of 0.44% and the S&P 500's loss of 0.47% [1] Group 2: Earnings Expectations - Vistra Corp. is expected to report earnings on May 7, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of$ 0.54, representing a 134.78% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projected at $4.4 billion, which is a 44.14% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3: Full-Year Estimates - The full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates for Vistra Corp. indicate earnings of$ 5.72 per share and revenue of $21.25 billion, reflecting year-over-year changes of -18.29% for earnings and +23.35% for revenue [3] Group 4: Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. are important as they reflect the changing dynamics of short-term business patterns, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the company's outlook [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Vistra Corp. as 3 (Hold), with the EPS estimate having moved 0.45% lower over the past month [6] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - Vistra Corp. has a Forward P/E ratio of 24.01, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 18.35 [7] - The PEG ratio for Vistra Corp. is currently 2.26, while the average PEG ratio for the Utility - Electric Power industry is 2.69 [7] Group 6: Industry Context - The Utility - Electric Power industry, part of the broader Utilities sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 30, placing it in the top 13% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]