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Should You Buy Nio While It's Below Its IPO Price?
NIONIO(NIO) The Motley Fool·2025-05-09 07:15

Core Viewpoint - Nio, a leading Chinese electric vehicle maker, is experiencing a turnaround despite facing challenges, and its current stock price may present a buying opportunity for investors [2][9]. Company Overview - Nio went public at 6.26perADRonSeptember12,2018,andreachedarecordhighof6.26 per ADR on September 12, 2018, and reached a record high of 62.84 on February 9, 2021, before its stock price fell to around 4duetoconcernsoverslowingdeliveriesandfinancialperformance[1][2].CompetitiveDifferentiationNiodifferentiatesitselffromcompetitorsbyofferingremovablebatteries,expandingintoEurope,andprovidingadiverserangeofvehiclesfromhighendtolowendmodels[2][3].GrowthMetricsNiosannualdeliveriesmorethandoubledin2020and2021,butgrowthslowedto344 due to concerns over slowing deliveries and financial performance [1][2]. Competitive Differentiation - Nio differentiates itself from competitors by offering removable batteries, expanding into Europe, and providing a diverse range of vehicles from high-end to low-end models [2][3]. Growth Metrics - Nio's annual deliveries more than doubled in 2020 and 2021, but growth slowed to 34% in 2022 and 31% in 2023, attributed to competition and economic factors. However, deliveries increased by 39% in 2024, reaching 221,970 vehicles, with vehicle margins improving to 12.3% [4][5][6]. Financial Performance - Analysts project Nio's revenue to rise by 39% to 91.1 billion yuan (12.5 billion) for the full year, while net losses are expected to decrease from 22.7 billion yuan to 16.4 billion yuan (2.3billion).Niosenterprisevalueis77billionyuan(2.3 billion). Nio's enterprise value is 77 billion yuan (10.6 billion), trading at less than one times this year's sales [7][8]. Potential Catalysts - Near-term catalysts for Nio include potential trade deals between the U.S. and China, changes in EU tariffs on Chinese EVs, and plans to sell a controlling stake in its battery division to CATL [8].