Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has seen significant stock performance, with shares more than quadrupling over the last 12 months and up over 40% year to date, but it is not expected to be among the top long-term winners compared to other stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Intuitive Surgical - Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) currently has a market cap approximately $70 billion smaller than Palantir, but it is anticipated that this could change in the near future [3]. - Intuitive Surgical's revenue grew by 19% year over year in Q1 2025, with procedure volume for its da Vinci robotic systems expected to increase by 15% to 17% this year [3][4]. - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Intuitive Surgical is 68, which is considered relatively cheap compared to Palantir's forward earnings multiple of 196 [4]. - Intuitive Surgical performed around 2.7 million procedures last year and estimates that there are approximately 22 million soft-tissue procedures targeted with products under development [5]. Group 2: Alibaba Group - Alibaba Group (BABA) is already larger than Palantir and is expected to widen its market cap gap over the next five years [6]. - Alibaba's shares trade at only 12.5 times forward earnings, with a low price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 0.71 based on five-year earnings projections [7]. - The demand for artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to benefit Alibaba significantly, with AI-related product revenue growing by triple-digit percentages for six consecutive quarters [8]. - Potential growth limitations for Alibaba could arise from the Chinese government, but if allowed to operate freely, it is expected to remain larger than Palantir by the end of the decade [9]. Group 3: Alphabet - Alphabet (GOOG) is currently over 7 times larger than Palantir and is expected to maintain this size in five years [10]. - Despite challenges such as antitrust lawsuits and concerns about generative AI, Alphabet is expected to thrive, with AI positively impacting its business [12]. - Google Cloud's business is booming as customers develop generative AI applications, and AI Overviews in Google Search have increased both search usage and customer satisfaction [12]. - The antitrust rulings may present challenges, but resolutions could take years, and the outcomes may not be overly detrimental to Alphabet [13].
Prediction: 3 Stocks That Will Be Worth More Than Palantir Technologies 5 Years From Now