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UAL Bets on Twelve for Sustainable Aviation Fuel: Is the Stock a Buy?
UALUnited(UAL) ZACKS·2025-05-13 17:05

Group 1: Investment and Sustainability Initiatives - United Airlines (UAL) announced an investment in Twelve, a low-carbon fuels company that produces sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) using a process similar to photosynthesis [1] - This investment is part of UAL's Sustainable Flight Fund, which aims to support innovations that make air travel cleaner and reduce aviation emissions by 90% by 2050 [2][3] - The Sustainable Flight Fund, launched in 2023, has grown to over 200millionandfocusesonexpeditingthedevelopmentandproductionofSAF[3]Group2:FinancialPerformanceandMarketPositionUALbenefitsfromdecliningoilprices,withfuelexpensesdecreasingby8.6200 million and focuses on expediting the development and production of SAF [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Position - UAL benefits from declining oil prices, with fuel expenses decreasing by 8.6% year over year in Q1 2025, positively impacting its bottom line [5] - The company announced a 1.5 billion share buyback plan, marking its first buyback since the COVID-19 pandemic, and has repurchased shares worth 451millionthroughApril10[6]UAListradingatadiscountcomparedtotheZacksTransportationAirlineindustry,withaValueScoreofA,indicatingafavorablevaluationrelativetopeers[7]Group3:StockPerformanceandEarningsOutlookUALsstockhasunderperformedduetotariffinducedslowdowns,withsharesdown19.1451 million through April 10 [6] - UAL is trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Transportation-Airline industry, with a Value Score of A, indicating a favorable valuation relative to peers [7] Group 3: Stock Performance and Earnings Outlook - UAL's stock has underperformed due to tariff-induced slowdowns, with shares down 19.1% year-to-date [10] - Earnings per share estimates for 2025 have declined over the past 60 days, reflecting a negative trend in earnings revisions [13] - UAL's adjusted EPS outlook for 2025 ranges from 7 to $13.50, depending on economic conditions, with high labor costs also impacting profitability [15]