SAILUN GROUP(601058) 新浪财经·2025-05-14 00:30Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates stable performance with ongoing high levels of production and sales, supported by the orderly advancement of new expansion projects in Vietnam, Cambodia, Mexico, and Indonesia, which is expected to lead to a continuous upward trend in performance over the medium to long term [1]. Financial Performance - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, with projected EPS of 1.45/1.59 for 2025/2026 and a new forecast of 1.76 for 2027, supported by clear overseas capacity increases [2]. - For 2024, the company expects revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 31.802 billion and 4.063 billion respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 22.42% and 31.42% [2]. - In Q4 2024, revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected at 8.174 billion and 819 million respectively, with quarter-on-quarter declines of 3.54% and 25.00% [2]. - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are expected to be 8.411 billion and 1.039 billion respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 15.29% and 0.47%, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 2.90% and 26.79% [2]. Production and Sales - The company achieved a tire production volume of 74.8111 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27.59%, with sales volume reaching 72.1558 million units, up 29.34% year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue from self-produced and self-sold tires is projected to be 8.09 billion, with production and sales volumes of 19.8833 million and 19.3739 million units respectively, reflecting a year-on-year sales volume increase of 16.84% [3]. Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 are expected to be 27.58% and 12.97%, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.06 percentage points and an increase of 0.64 percentage points respectively [3]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin and net margin are projected to be 24.74% and 12.64%, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 2.94 percentage points and 1.75 percentage points, and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.54 percentage points for gross margin but an increase of 2.55 percentage points for net margin [3]. Capacity Expansion - The company is accelerating its global capacity layout, with ongoing construction of production bases in Vietnam, Cambodia, Mexico, and Indonesia, aiming for a total planned production capacity of 27.65 million all-steel radial tires, 106 million semi-steel radial tires, and 447,000 tons of non-road tires by 2024 [4]. - The global capacity layout allows the company to shorten delivery cycles, serve existing customers more efficiently, expand overseas markets, and mitigate risks from trade frictions, supporting long-term stable development [4]. - The company has successfully developed a proprietary "liquid gold" tire that optimizes three key performance metrics: rolling resistance, wet grip, and wear resistance, enhancing product competitiveness [4].