ZHEJIANG DINGLI(603338) 新浪财经·2025-05-15 08:36Core Viewpoint - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth of 31%, primarily driven by overseas markets, with CMEC's consolidation contributing to overseas revenue growth. The net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 42% year-on-year, with stable gross margins and improved net margins due to reduced one-time expenses from CMEC consolidation. The company made positive progress in overseas tax rates, securing a minimum tariff of 20.6% in the EU anti-dumping investigation, which enhances its export competitiveness. Additionally, the US-China Geneva trade talks exceeded expectations, leading to adjustments in tariffs on Chinese exports to the US, currently around 30%, benefiting the company's exports to the US [1]. Events - Event 1: In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.898 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.72%, and a net profit of 429 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.83% [2]. - Event 2: The EU's final ruling on the anti-dumping and countervailing investigation against mobile elevating work platforms from China resulted in the company obtaining a minimum tariff of 20.6% [2]. - Event 3: The US-China Geneva trade talks led to positive developments, including the modification of tariffs on Chinese goods, with a 24% tariff suspended for the initial 90 days and a remaining 10% tariff retained [2]. Commentary - The company experienced rapid revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 1.898 billion yuan, up 30.72% year-on-year. The domestic market was in a seasonal downturn, while exports surged, driven by CMEC's consolidation and the company's active expansion into overseas markets, particularly in Europe and North America. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 429 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.83%. The gross margin and net margin were 40.56% and 22.58%, respectively, with the gross margin remaining stable and the net margin improving due to reduced one-time expenses from CMEC consolidation [3]. Long-term Development Outlook - The company achieved a minimum tariff rate in the EU anti-dumping investigation, providing a competitive advantage for exports to Europe. The company effectively utilized its response strategy and detailed evidence to secure a 20.6% minimum tariff, while other Chinese brands faced tariffs ranging from 41.7% to 66.7%. Additionally, the US-China tariff negotiations yielded favorable outcomes for the company's US business, with current tariffs on exports to the US at approximately 30%. The company maintains strong product capabilities and is actively expanding its arm-type products, introducing various new products such as tunnel drilling robots and ship rust removal robots, contributing to new revenue streams [4]. Investment Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.988 billion yuan, 10.126 billion yuan, and 11.429 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 15.25%, 12.66%, and 12.87%, respectively. The net profits attributable to the parent company are expected to be 2.002 billion yuan, 2.474 billion yuan, and 2.944 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.92%, 23.59%, and 18.98%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 12.21x, 9.88x, and 8.31x, maintaining a "buy" rating [5].