JD(09618) 格隆汇·2025-05-17 02:25Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong Q1 2025 performance, exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations in revenue and adjusted net profit, driven by user experience focus, content ecosystem development, and government subsidy policies [1][3]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 301.1 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 16% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 13% [1]. - Gross profit was 47.8 billion yuan, up 20% year-over-year and down 10% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - Operating profit stood at 10.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 37% year-over-year increase and a 24% quarter-over-quarter increase [1]. - Net profit was 11.3 billion yuan, a 53% year-over-year increase and a 4% quarter-over-quarter increase [1]. - Non-GAAP net profit reached 12.8 billion yuan, up 43% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter [1]. User Engagement and Growth - The platform achieved double-digit year-over-year growth in active users for six consecutive quarters, with growth exceeding 20% [2]. - The number of third-party merchant transaction users also saw double-digit year-over-year growth [2]. Retail Performance - JD Retail revenue grew 16% year-over-year to 263.8 billion yuan, with an operating profit margin increase of 0.8 percentage points to 4.9% [3]. - Revenue from 1P electronic products increased by 17% to 144.3 billion yuan, while 1P daily necessities revenue grew by 15% to 98 billion yuan [3]. - The growth was supported by a stable recovery in consumer spending and effective marketing collaborations with brands like Xiaomi [3]. Logistics Performance - JD Logistics revenue reached 47 billion yuan, an 11% year-over-year increase but a 10% quarter-over-quarter decrease [4]. - Revenue from integrated supply chain customers was 23.2 billion yuan, up 13.2% year-over-year, with the number of external integrated supply chain customers reaching 63,000, a 13.1% increase [4]. New Business Initiatives - New business revenue, including food delivery, amounted to 5.8 billion yuan, with an operating loss of 1.3 billion yuan [4]. - The management emphasized focusing on user and merchant experience, business scale, and ROI for the food delivery service [4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upward to 1,286.6 billion yuan, 1,371.3 billion yuan, and 1,449.6 billion yuan respectively [4]. - Net profit forecasts have been adjusted downward to 34 billion yuan, 45.4 billion yuan, and 52.6 billion yuan for the same period [4]. - The target market capitalization for JD Group is set at 592.2 billion yuan, with a target price of 186 yuan per share [4].