Okta-OKTA vs. Fortinet: Which Cybersecurity Stock Should You Bet On?

Core Insights - The global security market is projected to reach $212 billion in 2023, growing 15.1% year over year, benefiting both Okta and Fortinet [2] Company Analysis: Okta (OKTA) - Okta is experiencing strong demand for its identity security solutions, with a diverse portfolio expected to drive share price growth by 2025 [3] - Over 20% of Okta's fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 bookings came from new products, indicating robust client acquisition and top-line growth [4] - Okta's customer base reached 19,650, with remaining performance obligations totaling$ 4.215 billion, showcasing strong subscription revenue prospects [4] - The number of customers with over $100 thousand in Annual Contract Value increased by 7% year over year to 4,800 [4] - Okta's AI capabilities are integrated across its products, enhancing user experience and cybersecurity [5] - The company has a strong partner ecosystem, with over 7,000 integrations with various cloud and IT infrastructure providers [6] Company Analysis: Fortinet (FTNT) - Fortinet maintains strong momentum in network security, being the most deployed firewall vendor globally [7] - The expansion of Fortinet's unified Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) platform is a key performance driver, offering comprehensive security solutions [8] - Fortinet's sovereign SASE solution is gaining traction in regulated sectors, ensuring compliance while maintaining performance [9] - The company is investing in AI capabilities, holding over 500 AI patents, with new features driving client engagement [10] Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have appreciated by 10.9%, while Okta shares have surged by 60.5% [11] - Both companies are currently considered overvalued, with Fortinet trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 11.38X and Okta at 7.49X [14] - Fortinet's 2025 earnings estimate is$ 2.15 per share, reflecting a 2.74% year-over-year increase, while Okta's fiscal 2026 estimate is $1.09 per share, indicating a significant 172.14% jump year over year [17][18] - Both companies have consistently beaten earnings estimates, with Okta showing a higher average surprise of 204.9% compared to Fortinet's 30.98% [19] Conclusion - Fortinet is benefiting from increased demand from large enterprises and growth in security subscriptions, while Okta faces challenges from macroeconomic conditions [20]