
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Guess (GES) despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Guess is expected to report a quarterly loss of 630.96 million, indicating a 6.6% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 15% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Guess is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -40.59% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a solid Zacks Rank have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Guess exceeded earnings expectations with a surprise of +4.96%, reporting earnings of 1.41 [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Guess has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - Guess does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered for investment decisions [16].