Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Ollie's Bargain Outlet despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on June 3, 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.70, reflecting a -4.1$564.69 million, indicating an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in analyst expectations [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Ollie's is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +4.29%, indicating a bullish outlook from analysts [10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - Ollie's currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ollie's was expected to post earnings of $1.20 per share but delivered$1.19, resulting in a surprise of -0.83% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13]. Conclusion - While Ollie's Bargain Outlet is positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, other factors may also influence stock performance beyond just the earnings results [16].