HPI(600011) Ge Long Hui·2025-05-30 01:21Core Insights - The company reported a net profit of 4.973 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.19% [1][2] - The total electricity generated by the company's power plants in China was 106.633 billion kWh in Q1 2025, a decrease of 5.66% year-on-year [1][2] - The average settlement price for electricity was 488.19 yuan/MWh, down 1.96% compared to the previous year [1][2] - The proportion of market-based electricity transactions was 84.85%, a decline of 1.75 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] Coal Price Impact - The company benefits from declining coal prices, with the average coal price for Q1 2025 at 888 yuan/ton, down 9% year-on-year [3] - Fuel costs were reported at 259 yuan/MWh, a decrease of 10% year-on-year [3] - The coal machinery segment achieved a pre-tax profit of 3.982 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 41% from 2.825 billion yuan in Q1 2024 [3] - Expectations for Q2 2025 indicate continued decline in coal costs, potentially increasing profit margins for thermal power generation [3] Renewable Energy Expansion - The company plans to add approximately 10 GW of new renewable energy capacity in 2025, with around 7 GW from solar energy [2][3] - By the end of 2024, the share of low-carbon clean energy capacity is expected to reach 35.82% [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the company added 903.7 MW of wind power and 1,531.66 MW of solar power, with respective year-on-year growth in electricity generation of 8.81% and 51.21% [2][3] - The pre-tax profits for the wind and solar segments were 2.252 billion yuan and 564 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 6.7% and an increase of 52.6% year-on-year, respectively [2][3] Investment Rating - The company has been given a "Buy" rating with a target price of 6.12 HKD per share, indicating a potential upside of 24% based on a projected PE ratio of 7.5 times for 2025 [4]