LI AUTO(02015) 格隆汇· Ge Long Hui·2025-05-31 01:57Core Viewpoint - The company reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 25.9 billion and Non-GAAP net profit of 1.01 billion, driven by good gross margin, cost control, and sales volume [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 25.9 billion, with a Non-GAAP net profit of 1.01 billion, exceeding market expectations [1] - The company delivered a total of 92,864 vehicles in Q1, despite being in a model transition period, contributing to strong revenue [1] - The overall gross margin was 20.5%, with automotive gross margin at 19.8%, slightly above market expectations [1] Group 2: Future Development Trends - The company expects Q2 delivery guidance to be stable, projecting sales of 123,000 to 128,000 vehicles, aligning with market expectations [1] - A new pure electric vehicle cycle is anticipated in 2025, with plans to launch two new models, i8 and i6, in Q3 2025 [1] - The company aims to introduce sedan and MPV products after achieving 300 billion in revenue, marking the next growth phase [1] Group 3: Market Expansion Strategy - The company has initiated the "Hundred Cities Star Plan" to accelerate its expansion into lower-tier markets, targeting over 100,000 additional units by 2026 [2] - Internationally, the company plans to focus on Asia and Europe, aiming for overseas sales to account for 30% of total sales [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains an outperform rating and keeps the profit forecast for 2025/26 unchanged, with target prices of 155 HKD and 40 USD for Hong Kong and US stocks, respectively [2] - The current P/E ratios for Hong Kong and US stocks are 22x and 18x for 2025 estimates, indicating significant upside potential [2]