LI AUTO(02015) 格隆汇· Ge Long Hui·2025-05-31 01:57Core Viewpoint - The company reported Q1 performance with revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 1% quarter-on-quarter but a significant decrease of 41% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 650 million yuan, up 9% quarter-on-quarter but down 82% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1] Financial Performance - Q1 automotive gross margin was 19.8%, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase in both metrics, with total vehicle sales reaching 93,000 units, up 16% quarter-on-quarter but down 41% year-on-year [1] - The company’s overall gross margin for Q1 was 20.5%, with automotive gross margin at 19.8%, showing a slight increase of 0.5% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The average selling price (ASP) and gross profit per vehicle were 266,000 yuan and 53,000 yuan respectively, down 11.9% and 10.0% year-on-year, and down 1.1% and 0.7% quarter-on-quarter [2] Cost Management - The company demonstrated improved cost control with SG&A and R&D expense ratios at 9.8% and 9.7%, respectively, showing a year-on-year decrease of 1.9% and 2.2% [2] - The company expects to continue enhancing quality and efficiency in Q2, with projected deliveries of 123,000 to 128,000 units and revenue between 32.5 billion and 33.8 billion yuan [2] Product Development - Recent launches of the L series and MEGA smart driving models have been smooth, with the MEGA Home version performing well, enhancing expectations for the company's electric vehicle strategy [2] - The company plans to launch the i8 and i6 models in H2 2025, with the i8 featuring a 5C battery and a range of 720 km, which is expected to alleviate range anxiety for users [2] Technological Advancements - The introduction of the Thor-U chip in the L series and MEGA models enhances computational power, and the company is accelerating its self-developed chip initiatives [3] - The existing dual-system architecture will be upgraded to the VLA driver model in July 2025, which is expected to improve generalization capabilities and enhance autonomous driving features [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts, expecting GAAP net profits of 10.3 billion, 15.8 billion, and 17.8 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with Non-GAAP net profits of 13 billion, 18.6 billion, and 20.8 billion yuan [3] - The target price has been adjusted to 140.34 HKD, maintaining a "buy" rating based on a 21x PE for 2025 [3]