X: 1 Reason to Bet on U.S. Steel, and 1 Reason to Hold Back

Core Viewpoint - United States Steel has experienced a significant rally of 35% in three weeks, driven by trade protectionist sentiment and optimism surrounding a $14 billion acquisition bid from Japan's Nippon Steel, reaching levels not seen since 2010 [1][2] Group 1: Acquisition Dynamics - The stock is trading close to the proposed buyout price of$55 per share, raising questions about potential upside and whether the rally has peaked [2][5] - Trump's endorsement of the acquisition has been a major catalyst for the stock's rise, with a single statement causing a 20% jump in one session [3][4] - If the acquisition fails, other domestic steelmakers like Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. and Nucor Corp may present better offers, potentially exceeding Nippon's bid [8] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Risks - The stock is currently trading at $53.27, which is just below the proposed acquisition price, indicating limited upside potential [10] - The stock's relative strength index (RSI) is above 75, suggesting it is in overbought territory, indicating that the best-case scenario may already be priced in [10][11] - Labor unions oppose the acquisition, raising concerns about job security and U.S. industrial policy, which could impact the deal's approval [7][8]