Industry Overview - The technology sector experienced growth in Q1 2024, driven by strong adoption of AI and machine learning, despite persistent inflation delaying potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - Global macroeconomic challenges, including conflicts in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine, negatively impacted the sector's growth trajectory [1] - Escalating Sino-US tensions and US restrictions on high-tech exports to China, particularly advanced AI chips, have hurt chip providers [1] - Beijing's strategy to phase out foreign chips in critical industries like telecom is expected to negatively impact semiconductor giants such as Intel and AMD [1] Sector Drivers - Ongoing digitalization, including rapid adoption of cloud computing, 5G, IoT, wearables, AR/VR headsets, drones, and blockchain, is benefiting the technology sector [2] - Increasing demand for AI is driving the need for data center capacity expansion, with major cloud computing providers like Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms having multi-year investment plans [2] - The rise of generative AI has attracted investments, boosting demand for chips, particularly GPUs, benefiting semiconductor companies [2] Market Performance - Semiconductor sales in February 2024 were 47.6 billion, up 15.2% year-over-year [3] - The PC segment saw growth in Q1 2024, with 59.8 million PCs shipped, a 1.5% increase from the previous year [3] - Lenovo and HP experienced growth of 7.8% and 0.2%, respectively, while Dell Technologies saw a 2.2% decline [3] Earnings Focus - Several technology companies are set to report earnings in the coming weeks, with a focus on stocks that have a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) and a positive Earnings ESP [4] - Earnings ESP is a proprietary methodology that identifies stocks likely to surprise positively in their next earnings announcement, based on the percentage difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate [4] - Stocks with this combination have a 70% chance of a positive earnings surprise [5] Top Stock Picks - Vertiv (VRT) has an Earnings ESP of +1.24% and a Zacks Rank of 1, with a consensus earnings estimate of 37 cents per share for Q1 2024 [6][7] - Meta Platforms (META) has an Earnings ESP of +3.26% and a Zacks Rank of 2, with a consensus earnings estimate of 1.13 per share for Q1 2024 [7] - Itron (ITRI) has an Earnings ESP of +5.88% and a Zacks Rank of 2, with a steady consensus earnings estimate of 85 cents per share for Q1 2024 [7][8] - Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) has an Earnings ESP of +5.96% and a Zacks Rank of 2, with a consensus earnings estimate of 58 cents per share for Q1 2024 [8]
5 Technology Stocks Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates in Q1