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力劲科技:保持利润率:海外市场蕴藏更大商机

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for LK Tech (00558 HK) with a target price of HK4.45[2][3].CoreInsightsTheoverallperformanceofLKTechhasdeclinedduetoweakdomesticdemandinthediecastingbusiness,butthishasbeenpartiallyoffsetbystrongrevenuegrowthinoverseasmarkets.ThenetprofitforecastsforFY2025andFY2026havebeenreviseddowntoHK4.45 [2][3]. Core Insights - The overall performance of LK Tech has declined due to weak domestic demand in the die-casting business, but this has been partially offset by strong revenue growth in overseas markets. The net profit forecasts for FY2025 and FY2026 have been revised down to HK440 million (-19.6%) and HK499million(16.1499 million (-16.1%) respectively, with an introduction of a net profit forecast of HK589 million for FY2027 [2]. - The company’s revenue for FY2024 is reported at HK5.837billion,adecreaseof1.05.837 billion, a decrease of 1.0% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin down by 1.1 percentage points to 11.0%. Despite the overall poor performance, there has been an improvement compared to the first half of FY2024 [2]. - The overseas business has shown strong growth, with revenue reaching HK1.3357 billion in FY2024, a year-on-year increase of 21.9%. Exports to Central and South America have been particularly strong, with revenue increasing by 97.7% to HK250.5million[2].Theinjectionmoldingmachinebusinesshasalsoseensignificantrevenuegrowth,increasingby19.7250.5 million [2]. - The injection molding machine business has also seen significant revenue growth, increasing by 19.7% to HK1.425 billion, driven by cyclical trends in the plastic production industry and domestic demand stimulated by government initiatives [2]. Financial Summary - For FY2023, total revenue was HK5.896billionwithanetprofitofHK5.896 billion with a net profit of HK532 million and an EPS of HK0.387.ForFY2024,revenueisprojectedatHK0.387. For FY2024, revenue is projected at HK5.837 billion with a net profit of HK484millionandanEPSofHK484 million and an EPS of HK0.353 [5][8]. - The forecasted revenues for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are HK6.215billion,HK6.215 billion, HK6.593 billion, and HK7.033billionrespectively,withcorrespondingnetprofitsofHK7.033 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of HK440 million, HK499million,andHK499 million, and HK589 million [5][8]. - The report indicates that the net profit margins for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are expected to be 7.1%, 7.6%, and 8.4% respectively [2].