Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Q-Tech with a new target price (TP) of HK3.93, indicating a potential upside of 29.6% from the current price of HK$4.99 [5][14]. Core Insights - Q-Tech announced a positive profit alert for 1H24, projecting a net profit growth of 400-500% year-on-year, reaching RMB109-130 million, which aligns with 29-34% and 40-47% of the firm's and consensus FY24 estimates respectively [3][12]. - The growth is attributed to several factors including an increased share of high-end CCM, growth in auto/IoT CCM, rising UTR, and improved profitability from the associate Newmax [3][14]. - The outlook for 2H24 remains positive, driven by flagship model launches, high-end specification upgrades, and recovery in FPM, which are expected to enhance profitability [3][14]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY24E is projected at RMB17,025 million, with a year-on-year growth of 35.9% [4][12]. - Net profit for FY24E is expected to be RMB386 million, reflecting a significant recovery from previous years [12][19]. - The report anticipates EPS growth of 372.7% for FY24E, with further increases in FY25E and FY26E [4][12]. Earnings Forecasts - The report raises FY25-26E EPS by 2-12% to account for stronger 1H24 earnings and improved gross profit margins [3][14]. - The gross profit margin is expected to recover to 7.5% in FY25E and 7.2% in FY26E, indicating a positive trend in profitability [12][19]. Market Position - Q-Tech is trading at attractive multiples of 14.3x and 10.3x FY24/25E P/E, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to its peers [3][14]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the recovery in the global smartphone market and increasing demand for non-mobile CCM applications, particularly in automotive and IoT sectors [3][14].
丘钛科技：Earnings recovery has just begun; Raise TP to HK$6.47