Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Saweidai (301381 SZ) with a target price of 25 25 yuan per share based on a 2024 PE multiple of 22x [5] Core Views - Saweidai's 2024 H1 results exceeded expectations with revenue of 4 15-4 25 billion yuan, up 49 7%-53 3% YoY, and net profit of 230-250 million yuan, up 51 6%-64 9% YoY [1] - The company's growth is driven by its brand globalization strategy, with key initiatives including expanding beyond Amazon, launching new brands in categories like women's apparel, and diversifying channels through platforms like TikTok and Temu [1] - Geographic expansion focuses on the US market while increasing presence in Europe [1] Financial Performance - For 2024-2026, revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 31 5%, reaching 8 93 billion yuan in 2024, 11 73 billion yuan in 2025, and 14 91 billion yuan in 2026 [2] - Net profit is expected to grow at a CAGR of 34 4%, reaching 460 million yuan in 2024, 610 million yuan in 2025, and 820 million yuan in 2026 [2] - ROE is forecast to improve from 13 9% in 2023 to 19 4% in 2026, reflecting enhanced profitability [3] Growth Drivers - The company's growth strategy centers on brand incubation, operational efficiency improvement, and channel diversification [1] - Key growth areas include expanding beyond Amazon, developing new brands, and leveraging emerging platforms like TikTok and Temu [1] Valuation Metrics - The stock trades at 19 17x 2024E PE and 3 17x 2024E PB, with EV/EBITDA of 13 48x for 2024 [3] - EPS is projected to grow from 0 89 yuan in 2023 to 2 04 yuan in 2026 [3]
赛维时代：业绩超预期，新品类驱动增长