福耀玻璃：Q2盈利大超预期，全球龙头兼具成长性与确定性

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported Q2 earnings that significantly exceeded expectations, showcasing both growth potential and certainty as a global leader in the automotive glass industry [1][4] - The revenue for Q2 reached 9.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.11 billion yuan, up 9.8% year-on-year [3][4] - The company is expected to benefit from product upgrades, increased market share, and new business opportunities, particularly in high-value automotive glass products [4] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2022A: 28,099 million yuan (19% growth) - 2023A: 33,161 million yuan (18% growth) - 2024E: 39,634 million yuan (20% growth) - 2025E: 46,606 million yuan (18% growth) - 2026E: 53,651 million yuan (15% growth) [1] - Net profit projections are: - 2022A: 4,756 million yuan - 2023A: 5,629 million yuan - 2024E: 7,075 million yuan - 2025E: 8,319 million yuan - 2026E: 9,997 million yuan [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 1.82 yuan in 2022 to 3.83 yuan in 2026 [1] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is experiencing a strong growth trajectory driven by the increasing share of high-value products such as panoramic roofs and HUD windshields, which are expected to enhance average selling prices (ASP) [4] - The company plans to invest significantly in expanding production capacity, with a total capital expenditure of approximately 8.12 billion yuan in 2024, marking a five-year high [4] - The aluminum trim business is anticipated to enter a growth phase, with new orders expected to ramp up production [4]