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Unity Software Inc:利润优于预期,广告业务仍待复苏

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Unity (U.US) with a target price adjusted to 20,reflectingapotentialupsideof2920, reflecting a potential upside of 29% from the current price of 15.54 [3][5]. Core Insights - Unity's Q2 2024 revenue reached 449million,aligningwithexpectations,whilestrategicsegmentrevenuewas449 million, aligning with expectations, while strategic segment revenue was 426 million, and adjusted EBITDA was 113million,bothexceedingpriorguidance.However,thecompanyhaslowereditsfullyearguidancefor2024duetocautiousoutlookontherecoveryofitsGrowbusinessandincreasedinvestments[2][3].TheCreateSolutionssegmentshowedstablegrowthwithQ2revenueof113 million, both exceeding prior guidance. However, the company has lowered its full-year guidance for 2024 due to cautious outlook on the recovery of its Grow business and increased investments [2][3]. - The Create Solutions segment showed stable growth with Q2 revenue of 129 million, a 4% year-over-year increase, driven by a 14% rise in subscription revenue. The upcoming release of Unity 6 is anticipated to be a growth driver for the company [2][3]. - The Grow Solutions segment continues to face challenges, with Q2 revenue of 296million,a9296 million, a 9% year-over-year decline. The company is enhancing its advertising technology capabilities and has appointed a new Chief Product Officer to revitalize its advertising business [2][3]. Financial Summary - For FY 2024, Unity's projected revenue is 1.763 billion, down from previous guidance of 1.7601.760-1.800 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 2%-3%. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between 340millionand340 million and 350 million, down from earlier estimates of 400millionto400 million to 425 million [3][4]. - The forecasted financial metrics include a revenue increase from 1.391billioninFY2022to1.391 billion in FY 2022 to 1.763 billion in FY 2024, with adjusted EBITDA improving from a loss of 71millioninFY2022toaprojected71 million in FY 2022 to a projected 405 million in FY 2025 [4][8]. - The report highlights a significant decline in net profit projections, with expected losses of 737millioninFY2024and737 million in FY 2024 and 474 million in FY 2025, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability [8][9].