Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is downgraded to "Neutral" with a target price of HKD 11.09, reflecting a potential upside of 5.6% from the current price of HKD 10.50 [1][2][7]. Core Insights - The company's gross margin exceeded expectations, but the price of photovoltaic glass continues to hit new lows, leading to the downgrade of the rating to neutral [1]. - In Q2, the company reported revenues and net profit of RMB 4.97 billion and RMB 739 million, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 15% and 29% [1]. - The average price of photovoltaic glass saw a slight increase quarter-on-quarter, while the decline in prices of soda ash and natural gas contributed to a decrease in costs, pushing the gross margin up by 5.0 percentage points to 26.5%, the highest since Q4 2021 [1]. - The company’s production capacity decreased by 200 tons to 20,400 tons compared to the beginning of the year, leading to a decline in market share [1]. - The photovoltaic glass price has been continuously decreasing, with a significant oversupply in the market, resulting in a 10% and 7% drop in prices in July and August, respectively [1]. - The report anticipates a slight rebound in prices in October and November due to seasonal demand, but warns of a potential decline again in Q1 next year as production ramps up [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 21.524 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 39.2%, followed by a decline of 10.1% in 2024 [2][8]. - Net profit for 2023 is estimated at RMB 2.76 billion, with a projected decline to RMB 1.979 billion in 2024 [2][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be RMB 1.17, decreasing to RMB 0.84 in 2024 [2][8]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 8.2 for 2023 and 11.4 for 2024 [2][8]. - The gross margin is expected to decline from 22.4% in 2023 to 18.5% in 2024 [5][8].
福莱特玻璃：毛利率超预期，但光伏玻璃价格持续创出新低，下调至中性