海天国际：订单景气度快速恢复，份额有望持续提升

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 30 for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is expected to maintain a good order growth in the second half of the year, with annual performance projected to approach the peak levels seen in 2021. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing restructuring of global supply chains, particularly as domestic manufacturing capacity shifts overseas [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of RMB 8.02 billion for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.7%. The gross margin slightly increased by 0.3 percentage points to 32.3%. Operating profit reached RMB 1.75 billion, up 28.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.52 billion, a 23.5% increase. Basic earnings per share stood at RMB 0.95, with a solid financial position reflected in net cash of RMB 10.65 billion [1]. Sales and Market Trends - Sales trends across all models are improving, with significant growth in demand from downstream consumer goods, certain home appliances, and the 3C industry. The main Mars series saw sales of 24,115 units and revenue of RMB 5.17 billion, marking year-on-year increases of 45.5% and 34%, respectively. The Jupiter series achieved sales of 840 units and revenue of RMB 1.46 billion, with year-on-year growth of 14.9% and 6.5%. The Chang Fei Ya series also rebounded with sales of 1,955 units and revenue of RMB 1.02 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 34.5% and 25.7% [1]. Domestic and International Market Outlook - Domestic revenue grew by 33.7% to RMB 5.18 billion, driven by a recovery in demand from the consumer goods sector. International revenue increased by 13.2% to RMB 2.84 billion, with strong demand from emerging markets such as Vietnam, Brazil, and Mexico. The company anticipates improved overseas revenue recognition in the second half of the year as shipping schedules stabilize [1]. Future Revenue and Profit Projections - The revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are adjusted to RMB 15.9 billion, RMB 18.99 billion, and RMB 22.3 billion, respectively. Net profit projections for the same years are RMB 3 billion, RMB 3.53 billion, and RMB 4.1 billion, respectively. The report maintains a target price of HKD 30, corresponding to forecasted price-to-earnings ratios of 14, 12, and 10 for 2024 to 2026 [2].