申能股份：分红收益季度扰动 稳定资产高股息具备配置价值

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 13.68 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decline of 1.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.191 billion yuan, an increase of 18.66% year-on-year [3] - The performance growth in the first half of the year is attributed to the decline in coal prices and stable electricity prices, with an average coal price of 984 yuan per ton, down 163 yuan per ton year-on-year [3][4] - The company’s installed capacity as of June 30, 2024, was 17.1 million kilowatts, with significant contributions from coal and gas power [3] - The second quarter saw a decline in coal power generation due to weakened demand and increased hydropower supply, but a recovery is expected in the third quarter due to high temperatures in Shanghai [4] - The company’s dividend yield is projected at 5.9% for 2024, indicating strong allocation value [3] - Profit forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 3.7 billion, 3.9 billion, and 4.1 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 10, 10, and 9 times [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2024 was 13.68 billion yuan, down 1.6% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.191 billion yuan, up 18.66% year-on-year [3] - The second quarter revenue was 5.609 billion yuan, down 15.31% year-on-year, with net profit of 1.032 billion yuan, down 7.26% year-on-year [3] Installed Capacity and Power Generation - As of June 30, 2024, the company had a total installed capacity of 17.1 million kilowatts, with coal, gas, wind, solar, and distributed generation capacities of 8.4 million, 3.43 million, 2.42 million, 2.25 million, and 0.61 million kilowatts respectively [3] - The second quarter saw a total power generation of 10.867 billion kilowatt-hours, down 13% year-on-year [4] Dividend and Valuation - The company’s dividend yield for 2024 is estimated at 5.9%, based on a 60% payout ratio [3] - Adjusted profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are 3.7 billion, 3.9 billion, and 4.1 billion yuan, with PE ratios of 10, 10, and 9 times respectively [3]