Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating with a revised target price of 16.94 RMB [3][5] Core Views - The company achieved rapid revenue growth, driven by both hardware and software businesses, but net profit attributable to the parent company is under short-term pressure [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the AI localization trend and achieve above-expectation development [3] - Revenue in H1 2024 reached 1.728 billion RMB, up 61.07% YoY, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 3 million RMB, down 94.23% YoY [3] Business Performance Software and Services - Revenue from software and services reached 761 million RMB in H1 2024, up 43.85% YoY, resuming growth after a period of stabilization [3][13] - The business is expected to grow at 25%, 22%, and 18% YoY from 2024 to 2026, with gross margins of 27.8%, 28.3%, and 28.8% respectively [13] Intelligent Computing Hardware - Revenue from intelligent computing hardware reached 874 million RMB in H1 2024, up 88.84% YoY, becoming a core driver of revenue growth [3][13] - The business is expected to grow at 45%, 38%, and 33% YoY from 2024 to 2026, with gross margins of 12%, 11.8%, and 11.6% respectively [13] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is expected to reach 4.256 billion RMB (-0.76 billion), 5.568 billion RMB (-3.90 billion), and 7.074 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026 [13] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 92 million RMB (-261 million), 155 million RMB (-428 million), and 243 million RMB from 2024 to 2026 [13] - EPS is forecasted to be 0.07 RMB (-0.17), 0.12 RMB (-0.26), and 0.19 RMB from 2024 to 2026 [3][13] Valuation - The company is valued using the PS method, with a 2024 PS multiple of 5x, resulting in a target price of 16.94 RMB [14] - Comparable companies in the AI sector, such as iFlytek, Transwarp, and HopeRun, have an average 2024 PS multiple of 4.39x [14][15] Industry and Market Position - The company is a strategic partner of Huawei in the "Cloud + Kunpeng/Ascend AI + Industry Large Models + OpenHarmony" ecosystem, giving it a significant first-mover advantage in AI localization [3][14] - The company has successfully implemented AI large model solutions in various sectors, including smart transportation, manufacturing, and education [3]
拓维信息:算力硬件持续高增,软件服务重启增长