Changjiu Logistics(603569) 中银证券·2024-09-18 08:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 6.25, maintaining the previous rating of "Buy" [1]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company's performance in the first half of 2024 was supported by a recovery in domestic vehicle exports and growth in international business, alongside continued investment in new energy initiatives. The company achieved a net profit of RMB 0.53 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.74% [2]. - The report emphasizes the potential for future earnings growth driven by the expansion of international business and the optimization of supply chain management, despite short-term pressures on domestic logistics operations [2][3]. - The company is expected to see significant profit growth in the coming years, with projected net profits of RMB 1.93 billion, RMB 2.49 billion, and RMB 2.95 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 173.5%, 29.4%, and 18.3% [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company reported operating revenue of RMB 1.824 billion, a decrease of 3.44% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 0.53 billion, an increase of 16.74% [2]. - The company’s main business of vehicle logistics faced short-term pressure, but improvements in international business and new energy sectors are expected to enhance profitability [2][3]. Market Outlook - The report notes that China's vehicle exports continued to show strong growth, with a 30.5% year-on-year increase in the first half of 2024, which is expected to benefit the company's international logistics operations [2]. - The company is enhancing its international shipping capacity with the successful launch of a new roll-on/roll-off vessel, which is anticipated to contribute positively to future earnings [2][3]. Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the company are expected to be RMB 0.32, RMB 0.41, and RMB 0.49 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 19.6, 15.1, and 12.8 [3][4].