Aerospace CH UAV (002389) 兴业证券·2024-09-23 01:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 13.18 yuan as of September 20, 2024 [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit declined year-over-year in H1 2024, with revenue decreasing by 10.37% to 1.019 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders dropping by 42.11% to 66 million yuan [2][4] - Despite overall revenue decline, the drone business showed growth, with revenue increasing by 10.22% year-over-year to 548 million yuan, accounting for 53.78% of total revenue [2][10] - Overseas business revenue grew by 8.73% year-over-year to 559 million yuan, with gross margin improving by 2.36 percentage points to 41.92% [2][14] Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company's revenue was 555 million yuan, down 11.58% year-over-year but up 19.66% quarter-over-quarter [2][5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2024 was 63 million yuan, down 33.47% year-over-year but up 2387.33% quarter-over-quarter [2][5] - Gross margin in H1 2024 was 24.76%, up 0.12 percentage points year-over-year, while net margin decreased by 3.55 percentage points to 6.48% [2][9] Business Segments - Drone and related products maintained a high gross margin of 40.52%, with revenue accounting for 53.78% of total revenue [2][10] - Backsheet film and insulation materials revenue decreased by 36.03% year-over-year to 248 million yuan, with gross margin turning negative at -9.31% [2][10] - Optical film revenue decreased by 9.14% year-over-year to 191 million yuan, but gross margin improved by 9.57 percentage points to 24.89% [2][10] Future Projections - The report forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders of 217 million yuan, 305 million yuan, and 338 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2][21] - EPS is projected to be 0.22 yuan, 0.31 yuan, and 0.34 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2][21] - The company's PE ratio is estimated at 60.4x, 43.1x, and 38.9x for 2024, 2025, and 2026 based on the closing price on September 20, 2024 [2][21]