NEW WORLD DEV(00017) 开源证券·2024-10-06 16:08Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][3] Core Views - The company has experienced a contraction in revenue, with a significant decline in property development income, while investment properties have shown stable performance. The forecast for net profit has been revised downwards for 2025-2026 and a new forecast for 2027 has been added, expecting net profits of 370 million, 600 million, and 860 million HKD for 2025-2027 respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 63.2, 39.4, and 27.2 times for 2025-2027 [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2023/2024, the company reported total revenue of 35,782 million HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 62.4%, primarily due to reduced property development revenue in Hong Kong. The gross profit was 12,849 million HKD, down 22% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 35.9%, an increase of 13.38 percentage points year-on-year. The core operating profit from continuing operations was 6,898 million HKD, down 18% year-on-year, leading to a net profit of -11,807 million HKD due to non-cash impairment losses [3][4] Investment Property Performance - The investment properties generated revenue of 5,197 million HKD in the fiscal year 2023/2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.03%. The revenue from investment properties in Hong Kong was 3,356 million HKD, with significant increases in sales and foot traffic at K11 MUSEA and K11 Art Mall, which saw sales growth of 17% and 16% respectively, and total foot traffic growth of 20% and 10%. The occupancy rate for K11 Art Mall remained at 99% [3][4] Property Development and Capital Expenditure - The property development revenue for the fiscal year 2023/2024 was 16,125 million HKD, a decline of 40.95%. The revenue from property development in Hong Kong and mainland China was 2,412 million HKD and 13,713 million HKD, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -85.60% and +29.94%. The company has focused on the Greater Bay Area and Yangtze River Delta, contributing over 85% of contract sales in mainland China. Capital expenditures and administrative expenses have been significantly reduced by 23% and 17% respectively [3][4]