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财政部新闻发布会要点解读
东方金诚·2024-10-12 08:03

Group 1: Fiscal Policy Measures - The Ministry of Finance plans to significantly increase local government debt limits, with expectations of issuing special refinancing bonds in Q4 to replace hidden debts, potentially raising the debt limit from 46.79 trillion yuan[1] - The issuance of special government bonds to support state-owned banks in replenishing core Tier 1 capital is expected to increase from the original 1 trillion yuan, potentially reaching around 1 trillion yuan[2] - The total scale of government bond issuance is anticipated to rise significantly in Q4, with the central bank likely to lower the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, releasing approximately 1 trillion yuan into the banking system[2] Group 2: Real Estate Market Support - Special bond funds will be utilized to repurchase idle land from real estate companies and acquire existing properties for affordable housing, with an estimated expenditure of up to 200 billion yuan this year[3] - The 2024 special fund for housing security is set at 707.8 billion yuan, with 119 billion yuan allocated specifically for housing security initiatives[3] - Tax policies will be optimized to eliminate distinctions between ordinary and non-ordinary residential properties, aiming to stimulate the real estate market through tax reductions[3] Group 3: Economic Growth Projections - The total scale of incremental fiscal policies is projected to be no less than 4.3 trillion yuan, exceeding market expectations[3] - These measures are expected to drive GDP growth in Q4 to above 5.0%, supporting the annual growth target of around 5.0%[3]